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Ontario's ridings can be divided into multiple different voting groups—and each one has their own preference when it comes to who they want leading the province. Data company Environics Analytics has broken down those key voting groups using a range of sources and modelling techniques to determine where they live, who they voted for in the election and how they may vote this time around. The estimates are determined by overlaying poll-level return data from Elections Ontario from the election with a range of other data points, including demographic, expenditure, psychographic, vaccination intention and movement data.
It also takes overall riding characteristics and sentiment on important election issues into account. The wealthiest segment of voters in the province, Affluent Families typically have teenaged or college-aged children, or are empty-nest couples. They had the highest voter turnout 60 per cent and tended to vote Progressive Conservative PC in the previous election. Voter turnout was relatively high, with just under 60 per cent casting a ballot in The rising cost of gas is likely to be on their minds as they tend to travel long distances in their vehicles.
This was a decidedly PC segment, capturing a majority of votes 52 per cent in this group. They represent 9. The segment tends to contain well-established immigrants and second-generation professionals who are raising their children in fast-growing communities.
In Ontario, they represent They were highly sought after in the election and the PCs won this segment handily in the previous election. Big City Burbs tend to have higher expenditures for food, transportation, and entertainment when compared to the average Ontarian.
