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Login Sitemap Contact. Your email address will not be published. Notify me of follow-up comments by email. Nautilus Institute San Miguel Ave. Website developed by Computer Courage. Login Sitemap Contact Search for:. The below report is written in English. To translate the full report, please use the translator in the top right corner of the page. Do not show me this notice in the future. On the other hand, the international community has become increasingly concerned about the spread of nuclear weapons to developing countries where they might be used in regional conflicts.
Of these regional concerns, Northeast Asia has recently vaulted to the top due to a number of factors. The historical animosities, the territorial disputes, the potential power vacuum created by the disengagement of the superpowers, the region's growing importance as a trading partner, the general economic dynamism accompanied by increasing defense expenditures and acquisition of high tech weaponry, the imminent leadership changes, and the political isolation of North Korea combined with its development of new longer-range ballistic missiles and possibly nuclear weapons have all contributed to fears that Northeast Asia could become a nuclear powder keg.
It is clear to the United States, Russia, and China--the three major nuclear powers with a military presence in Northeast Asia-- that it would not be in their respective interests for any additional state in the region to develop a nuclear weapons capability in the near or distant future.
Although a consensus exists among the governments in Washington, Moscow, and Beijing that they should try to dissuade other states in Northeast Asia from "going nuclear" there is no consensus on the appropriate means for achieving that goal. North Korea's perceptions of U. Similarly, Japan's perceptions of North Korea's nuclear capabilities and intentions as well as those of Russia and China, will be an important factor in Tokyo's decision whether to remain a non-nuclear weapons state.
