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Instead, just as in the ice cores, CO2 levels are found to be a lagging effect ocean warming, not significantly related to man-made emissions, and not the driver of warming. Prior research has shown infrared radiation from greenhouse gases is incapable of warming the oceans , only shortwave radiation from the Sun is capable of penetrating and heating the oceans and thereby driving global surface temperatures.
The phase relation between atmospheric carbon dioxide and global temperature. Ice cores show atmospheric CO 2 variations to lag behind atmospheric temperature changes on a century to millennium scale, but modern temperature is expected to lag changes in atmospheric CO 2 , as the atmospheric temperature increase since about generally is assumed to be caused by the modern increase in CO 2.
Annual cycles are present in all datasets except 7 and 8 , and to remove the influence of these we analyze month averaged data. We find a high degree of co-variation between all data series except 7 and 8 , but with changes in CO 2 always lagging changes in temperature.
The maximum positive correlation between CO 2 and temperature is found for CO 2 lagging 11—12 months in relation to global sea surface temperature, 9. The correlation between changes in ocean temperatures and atmospheric CO 2 is high, but do not explain all observed changes. Bart says: September 12, at pm Here is a plot of emissions data. Do they look like they have a constant rate top plot to you? There is only one viable conclusion: human inputs are being rapidly sequestered, and have insignificant overall effect.